Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Tourney Time: First Round Results Validate Committee Seedings

The grid below shows the head-to-head win/loss records of the NCAA tournament teams by seed since 1985. Choose one or more values in the Rounds filter to see matchups in particular rounds.
Taking a look at the first round throughout history shows a a predictable pattern.  The #1 seed is 112-0 versus the #16 seed and the winning percentage decreases at a steady pace from there, with a noticeable exception of the #5 seed.  #12 seeds have upset the #5 seed just as often as the #11 seeds have upset the #6, and the #8-#9 matchups have been pretty even.  Despite the complaints over the years, these numbers appear to validate the selection committee seedings.

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